I bet you weren't expecting that ! But ... have a gander at this video explaining what it is and what you can use it for.... and then think ...how might this apply to, say, scrutinising bird survey results, or where to go twitching today, or deciding where to go birding tomorrow or next year, or "assessing" the "veracity" of various "sitings" on your local birding website,or reading with a critical/suspicious eye those newspaper stories about bird-related topics or the rarity accounts in BB, or whether to accept a lift to Spurn with person X or person Y, or whether to spend £2000 on new scope that is only 5% better than the one you've already got,or assessing whether the weather forecast for a week away is likely to be anywhere near the truth .... the truth is, the ideas behind Bayes Theorem are relevant to many real-life choices/situations, and might make you think about them in a new, and more sensible or even cynical (?) way. Even if you only watch the first few minutes of it, it will make you think .. ... and maybe, think BETTER ! Another surprise .... NOT ! Here's The Hosiers and CHOICES .... .. and here's the singalong version...
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AuthorThat's the author up there ... I was young and sprightly then. Archives
October 2022
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